kamikaze Good to see you on here by the way Kami. As far as western electoral politics goes, the terms are already outdated, but I reckon I've been "blackpilled" for about a decade and I'm getting close to "grillpilled" as the farce goes on.
2024 US Election
One vegetable out the way, the next vegetable about to take power. People used to laugh at African countries being ruled by lunatics but how is this any better ffs
Rest of the planet looks on in hopes Cheeto in chief drops the nuclear football in the White House.
Harris will win the election
awooga83 none of that will happen. He'll talk big talk but the chances of him pulling out of Taiwan are zero. Not that a president who was less hawkish about China would be a bad thing. Someones going to end up negotiating an unpopular peace deal in Ukraine eventually, a war that may never have started if Trump had beaten Biden. And the US backs Israel to the hilt no matter what so it wont be different there.
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Claudius dems will still be underdogs, for sure, but i think this was needed. harris was polling better than biden in theoretical polls, now the focus will be on her, so we'll see what the numbers look like. it really comes down to like 5 states, so that is all that matters at this point.
while its never the most likely outcome, dems could still possibly win the house and lose the senate/presidency. that would be really bad on one hand, because alito/thomas are likely to retire if trump wins, and he'll replace them with 40 year old hacks who will cement the scotus supermajority for another 30 years. but, winning the house, even by a slim majority, would prevent trump from passing any catastrophic laws.
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Harris needs a debate and she needs to kill it, which lets be honest shouldn't be hard for any half decent politician against Trump. She could probably do with a big progressive policy that Biden didn't already have to hang her hat on and energise people too.
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She's got plenty of time to turn it around. A 100 days is a long time for an election cycle in most countries and that's enough time to change the minds of a nation. Trump's team have generally attacked her for not being the smartest or most competent but honestly that's the weakest attack line they have given who they're putting up.
On the other hand, a part of me thinks they're setting her up to fail and focus on 2028 now.
Mirth i think setting her up to fail would have been pushing biden to stay on the ticket, accepting the loss, and then she has no standing to claim the nomination in 2028. or, no one coming out and endorsing her now and forcing her to try and win people over at the convention. the opposite actually happened, nearly everyone came out and supported her immediately, including most of the other strong candidates for president, and then the progressive caucus and the black caucus. they all could have sat on the sidelines until the convention, but them jumping in to immediately support her seems more genuine than not.
trump out here complaining like a karen.
such a whiny baby. perfect candidate for all the fake alphas out there.
mdgoonah41 don't discount the republicans shooting their own dicks off as well. at the end of the day, normies generally won't get off the couch to vote for the monster mash
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Yeah, this is her biggest chance, given that it's against Trump. $81 million already apparently fundraised in one day.
But agree with the other comments, this is going to keep entrenching the Democratic elites (obama, pelosi, etc) controlling everything...They brought us Biden and now took him away lol
lmao
chapeaux 
Iām actually amazed at the turn around for Democratic Party support. So far it feels like people are staying true to their āanyone younger than Bidenā stance. Part of my surprise is that āyoungerā is generally code for āprogressiveā and Kamala certainly isnāt that.
Iām not sure if sheās just riding a high, or got some string PR/training, but her tone in recent media appearances has been spot on. Sheās actually nailed a balance between snark/sass (shots at Trump) and seriousness (to appeal to suburban/centrist voters).
Itāll be interesting to see what demographics she over indexes with, and if those are represented in swing states. VP choice now seems to hinge on what swing states the Dema feel are most winnable - Kelly for AZ/Nevada vs Shapiro for the Midwest/rust belt.
MistaT itās a good confluence of events. For several months everyone was complaining about choosing between Biden and Trump. And then Dems really fell out of Biden but he dug his feet long enough that it was both fractious for the party and delayed a decision until the electionās eve. So now everyone is focused on getting over the line. And it helps that sheās a candidate without a massive recent national track record, so she can brand herself quite freely.
I think she will do it
the stunning thing is just how sharp her messaging has been since she got the nomination. during her campaign in 2020, her messaging was terrible, her tone was awful, and she was just flailing around. now, she seems to pretty on point with her messaging and attacks and is much more focused. her record still isnt great (i also dont think its awful but she is a cop) but if she can focus less on herself and more on attacking trump and vance with clear, concise talking points, it can go a long way. shes gotten a big bounce in the polls (compared to where biden was), but that will level off in the next few weeks. what she does to keep pushing that momentum will be key
here is a great example. nothing fancy, just a direct attack in a few sentences and its a quote tweet of a video of trump yesterday saying that this is the last time his supporters will need to vote, he'll take care of it so they dont have to vote anymore. really easy stuff here, no need to come up with a complex platform or strategy, just let trump make errors and then dunk on him.
how are you going to say some shit like this and your wife ends up looking like the embarrassment?
i guess if i was married to such a weak pathetic woman i would fuck a couch too.