Don't think I have seen an opposition manager praise us so much before. Almost every match we play against Brentford Thomas Frank is in awe.
Brentford vs Arsenal. Saturday 17:30 UK time.
Clrnc he wants to stay in Josh's good books, just in case.
Arteta's 22/23 and 23/24 teams are amongst the best 20 xGa since this stat came in 2017
I don’t think they are told to be that rigid in the final third. Saka and Martinelli just have immature movement and positional sense. There were several occasions where Saka was doing exactly as you suggest, he came inside to escape being doubled up on, but picked up some really poor positions and half the time just stood on Odegaards toes.
I guarantee you there’s nothing stopping Martinelli from trying a give and go with Zinchenko, but the instinct to make a run is much harder to come by against a deep block.
The opposition has basically figured out 90% of our threat comes from the wide boys so a deep block that doubles up on them is what they’re going for.
We just need to get better at exploiting the space it leaves in other areas and swing in crosses relentlessly, so they realise it’s a bad idea.
Kel Varnsen We are extremely well trained, or in fact too well trained and too prepared. Everything is structured to a tee. Very little freedom encouraged.
That's a result of the constant micro management from the touchline. I mean if we are already doing this in matches, imagine all the instructions in training.
- Edited
I don't really buy that the players are to blame. We were better at overloading areas just last year (at least before the world cup). Partey, Ødegaard, Saka, and White were fairly regularly able to overload our right side, creating chaos and unbalance in the opposition back four. Xhaka and Jesus often helped out Martinelli on the other side. This year, we look disgusting going forward, and I think it is largely Arteta's fault.
Open play xG this year: 1.25 per game
Open play xG last year: 1.68 per game
That's a big difference.
Edit: a few other teams' open play xG this season
Spurs: 1.76
Liverpool: 1.77
City: 1.63
- Edited
Clrnc Ancelotti touches on this in an interview I saw recently. Basically there is such a thing as too much instruction, and this has the effect of stifling player creativity. Our boys don't really try to figure things out if they can't win their duels or find space. They just try the same thing over and over again as described by Kel. That's why you hardly see give and goes and third man combinations. Too risky. The preference is the safe, "control" option. We bore the opposition until they make a mistake and we are able to capitalize.
Kel Varnsen yup. That's a stark drop that can't be explained away by "Xhaka". This is absolutely by design and it's horrible football.
- Edited
Things change.
Injuries and form aside, the idea that the opposition will just let you keep doing what you’re very good at is naive. We started seeing it at times last season, speaking of which, what was our open play xG from the second half of last season?
‘They were causing havoc’ - what were they doing then that they are not doing now? Saka still held the width mostly, White’s overlaps were still restrained, Ode still held that same pocket of space he does now, and Partey wasn’t injured.
All of this is hard to prove either way. But here’s my prediction, feel free to bookmark it. At some point we will start to see the fluidity return to our football this season and our xG will increase to expected levels. The assumption on here will be that Arteta realised the error of his ways and taken off the hand break. The truth will be closer to a combination of us adapting to our new environment and the return of form and fitness of our best players.
And before you all pay me to tell your futures, I’m just predicting that was was said the season before last, and then last season when the football improved, will just repeat itself.
- Edited
"At some point" we'll play better, eh? Gee, why don't you just give me the lottery numbers while you're at it?
Anyway, if your prediction is true then it sounds like all Arteta can do is wait until issues resolve themselves. Sounds nice.
Clrnc agree with this. Arteta has been all about instruction and heavily micromanages with a focus on the defensive aspect of the team absolutely first. I think Martinelli and Saka are predicable because they are drilled to play that way, we don't have scope for improvisation and it's very much in line with that idea of controlling the game. We've been a very defence focused team since Arteta took over and that has made us hard to play against. But we haven't really shown an attacking character or playing style that matches our defensive game.. It's very Mourinho esque. If you win the big trophies people aren't going to say much but if you don't it's not a cat fun environment to be in.
awooga83 we literally scored 88 goals last season, playing some great football. If Arteta's only concern was defence, there's no way that happens - he himself has spoken of the need to score 90 goals a season. Us winning games 1-0 all the time can not logically be part of that plan.
I've said it already today, but whilst I understand the disappointment in our performances this season, I don't think it's realistic to expect us to play like we did last season - Xhaka's gone, Ramsdale dropped and literally everyone else who was part of the main XI last season has missed some part of this season.
- Edited
QuincyAbeyie Anyway, if your prediction is true then it sounds like all Arteta can do is wait until issues resolve themselves. Sounds nice.
Pretty much. You wouldn't want him to micromanage too much.
- Edited
As usual, the battle lines are drawn between those who see the negatives and those who see the positives. It's been like this ever since Arteta joined and it's the same people arguing for and against. CBA with that shit and I'll just rejoice that we go top of the table.
- Edited
I personally think some of our performance last season was top of our level not so much about the manager just some players in top form and outperforming their level. This season and the horseshoe tactics is more reminiscent of the way we've generally played under Arteta. You can also see it in his recruitment strategy we've spent decent getting the back right but we have players like Eddie and reiss Nelson who busy aren't the level we need.
I don't expect us to match last season as I think we would inevitably drop from there because it was near the peak of our level for 2/3 of the season. I think we relied a little too much on Martinelli or Saka will just make it happen alone rather then creating game states to allow them to exploit.
Anyway as with everything is subjective, if we make this level of performance work and win the title there is nothing that I could say to refute that. I just think the level we have shown so far offensively probably sees us come short and it's been this way pretty much the whole season and it's cost us a few games, Fulham, Chelsea, Newcastle which is the fine margins that I think could see us lose out over the season.
- Edited
Couldn't find open play xG from set time periods last season, but overall xG has been:
First 14 games last year: 2.11
Last 24 games last year: 1.96
First 13 games this year: 1.91
Biggest difference seems to be we're creating fewer chances (xG) from open play, and more from corners and penalties (ca. 30% more). Another interesting stat is that last year we had 15.6 shots per game. This year we've had 14.2 shots per game. Fits with the other stats and the "eye test". We're more hesitant and less decisive in the final third.
But fair. It is difficult to identify the why here. I think it is Arteta's fault. Either by design or as a byproduct of his neurotic "over coaching" as some said. Hope we improve, because these things are not permanent.
For me it is just simple matter of the personnel. Our midfield balance is not right without Partey and we have had a striker in Jesus who has had a really stop start season or a not quite good enough Eddie. That's 2 players right down our spine who were massively influential in our attacking fluidity last season... Could Arteta commit a load more players forward to compensate, sure but why would we when it has got us to the top of the league..
There can be other reasons why it's not quite clicking going forward and maybe Arteta hasn't found the right blend of midfield to make it work when it has been staring him in the face (can't see it myself) but it's surprising and amusing hear that there is still this idea that Arteta intentionally doesn't want to play attacking.