RocktheCasbah I haven't seen you underrate or not rate a player that's linked to us this much before. I do remember a few times you said you had a close friend supporting Brentford that isn't complimentary of his abilities so if that's correct I do understand.

I just think watching Raya highlights, he's very short and even if his reflexes is fast he can't get to many good finishes. His positioning is more impressive than Rams though so he don't need to make so many Hollywood saves.

    Mirth my understanding (happy to be proven wrong by someone better informed) is that our transfer spending (particularly during the Europa years, post-COVID etc.) has been significantly funded by the Kroenkes, who charge interest on their loans.

    @Clrnc for what it's worth, one of my best friends is a Brentford fan (former season ticket holder) and he loves Raya.

      Clrnc tbf half of those aren't really bad mistakes, just that United twitter dickhead trying to take the piss.

      Still if we're paying 40m for a goalie to bench our 30m keeper he should get to some if not most of those. Either way I'd rather replace our GK coach Cana who seems to make everyone he works with worse. Leno dipped in form exactly during the time he worked with him (and said in interviews he doesn't like him), Ramsdale is at least very inconsistent, the less said about Runnarsson the better.

      Dislike Ramsdale's antics but his potential is far bigger than Raya's. Different coach could fix him imo.

      Clrnc I haven't seen you underrate or not rate a player that's linked to us this much before. I do remember a few times you said you had a close friend supporting Brentford that isn't complimentary of his abilities so if that's correct I do understand.

      Almost.

      Two of my best mates are Brentford fans, and we all take an interest in each other's teams, so I've seen enough of Raya and his errors to form my own opinion of him. Someone was mentioning about Aaron conceding that goal in the EL from distance, conveniently forgetting that Aaron was probably more or less where he was supposed to be and the guy hit that ball so very perfectly to beat him. It was a much better strike than the one that did Dave Seaman in '95 and nobody came away from that game going, "I know, lets bin big Dave..."

      David Raya got done at Wembley in a much worse way 3 years ago and it cost Brentford promotion. That's not the only example I've seen of him, "from bean to cup you fuck up" for the Bees, but I can't think of the specific examples now. Though I do remember that two seasons ago, our own Emile beat Raya with a shot from around the edge of the box I was very surprised he managed to find the corner with (I was right behind the line of the shot as Emile took it). I do appreciate though, that this kind of finish is something of a trademark for the Smith, so I'm not sure how much blame to put on Raya!

      My general point is that I don't think Raya is significantly better than Ramsdale to justify the outlay on him and if people think we're getting a goalkeeper who is going to come in and not drop absolute clangers, you might be in for a surprise. I also think we've all seen countless keepers down the years come to this club and not be able to dominate the box, we now have one and yet we're looking at signing a keeper who, at 5"11 is less likely to do that and that gives me the heebie jeebies. On top of that, chasing this guy having just tied Ramsdale down to a new deal reeks of mixed messaging as well as slightly muddled thinking.

      But as I've said up above, I am prepared to be wrong (and I will of course get behind the guy whenever he plays for us, if he does) and, as Big Willie says

      Big Willie guess you just got to trust that Arteta knows what he's doing.

      I guess that's it.

      Don Pacifico infinite funds is obviously bullshit, we still need to abide by FFP rules.

      Good thing we didn't sell Partey to not lose 20m on him next season if this is what we're spending our money on.

      If there's one position in the team where it's much better to spend 70m on one player and 10m on the other than 40m on each, it's the GK position imo.

      We'll have paid a lot for two decent keepers instead of a world class one and a backup who won't embarrass himself.

      Increased cost doesn't necessarily automatically translate to significantly better or world class. You identify the attributes you need or want and go for a player based on their availability (if you can afford it). It has been our M.O. all summer. Why should this be any different?

      I have a gut feeling Raya will be our CL and other Cups keeper and we will have a Bravo/Ter Stegen setup.

      Don Pacifico my understanding (happy to be proven wrong by someone better informed) is that our transfer spending (particularly during the Europa years, post-COVID etc.) has been significantly funded by the Kroenkes, who charge interest on their loans.

      The Covid loan was effectively a restructuring of debt that Arsenal already owed. Arsenal took most of those loans out pre-2008 and they had an abnormally high interest (perhaps not so abnormal in 2023) and fairly restrictive covenants including keeping aside a set cash balance that could not be used for transfers or business operations.

      During Covid, Arsenal were likely to breach most of the loan covenants because the world came to a standstill and at which point Kroenke stepped in and paid off the loan to external parties parties and replaced it with the loan to KSE. Overall it was a net benefit because we refinanced at a much lower rate of interest and we do no longer have any restrictive loan covenants which had a knock on effect of freeing up cash for more operations.

      Subsequent to that, we've also trimmed down our wage bill significantly (https://dailycannon.com/2023/03/arsenal-wage-bill/) and we've also performed ahead of expectations by finishing second and getting back into the CL which also provided a nice boost. The only downside is that we haven't sold particularly well but every other aspect has been pretty well managed.

      All that to say is that we aren't financing player transfers through additional debt. Kroenke did restructure our finances at a critical time which naturally makes us a more healthy business but that's about it.

        Mirth that all makes sense.

        However, given the 'overspend' during the Europa years and the continued significant investment in players (see £105m against Rice), is there not going to be a time where because of FFP, we have to rein in our spending? Commercially (as I understand it) we've lost a lot of ground over the last ten years so our current spending pattern feels to me (a) unsustainable and (b) a strategy of over invest now (in young players) so that you don't have to invest us much in the future. Either way, we will need to reduce our annual transfer expenditure at some point unless there is a significant step-change in our commercial performance and our trophy-winning (don't think qualifying for the CL will cover it).

        Again, happy to be proven wrong but I'm struggling to see how our expenditure now won't impact our spending further down the line.

        The crux of financial fair play is a break-even requirement from our operational activity alone over a 3 year period. It's actually quite hard to breach that unless you're willfully irresponsible.

        Ultimately no one outside the club can say that this summer's transfer moves are definitively not risking our FFP position because the impact of the Rice, Havertz plus the incoming CL revenue won't be publicly visible for another year. So you could be right.

        However, there's a pretty good track record of Arsenal showing good financial governance. Moreover, the impact of player transfers is offset by the lower interest payments, lower wage bills and recent CL qualification as the player transfer fees are spread over the life of their contracts while the other 3 are manifested immediately.

        As ever It comes down to whether we spend money to buy good players - £65m for Havertz will be a bargain if he delivers but if we signed someone for £30m and he flops it's far more costly in the long run.

          Mirth so I agree that the board are not irresponsible when it comes to breaching FFP but that doesn't discount the fact that we can spend somewhat recklessly if it's then counterbalanced by reducing transfer investments later down the line.

            Robert Sanchez joining Chelsea for 25m. We shouldn't be paying more than that for Raya

            I rate Robert Sanchez higher too

              Clrnc very different situation though. Sanchez has been Brighton's backup choice since the second half of the season because De Zerbi prefers Steele's passing ability.

              Raya, on the other hand, is the clear first choice at Brentford.

              I think Clrnc's broader point is still valid. Sanchez has the same amount of Spain caps, more PL appearances and is younger than Raya.

              There shouldn't be as significant a variance in price between the two.

              @Don Pacifico Picking what gives you more value between 25m and your first choice GK vs 25m and your backup choice who you benched because he doesn't fit your play style are two very different choices, regardless of whether the quality is similar.

              In Brighton's case, the 25m can improve the team more other places than on their GK bench. In Brentford's, it might not improve them to make that choice.

                QuincyAbeyie Brentford already bought a new first choice keeper. Same for Brighton too tbh. Situation is not that different.

                Not to mention Raya will leave on a free after this window