Pepe LeFrits Understandable but I worry just as much about signing a 27 year old with no experience of a top league and then hearing next summer about how he's struggling
Yes. But going by the ELO-adjusted* modelling I've seen, Gyökeres would be predicted to score 22–23 goals in the league if he stays fit (0.59 goals per 90 was the number). There is no sure thing, that's why one says "predicted". It's not about the squad value of Sesko versus Gyöko over five or ten years for me. A major trophy in the next couple of seasons would likely have big lateral benefits: player and staff retention, sponsorships, prize money, take best advantage of the peak football years of our generally excellent squad, etc.
* Obviously this will be bullshit, but on the other hand, "we applied a factor to account for the fact Portugal isn't England" isn't total bullshit