Kel Varnsen the Russian state will, Putin doesn't care about his people, they have all the weaknesses you claim today but also sanctions and no long term out. Trump and the US should be in a very good position to push a negotiation that costs the Russians. Instead giving them more then they would have dreamed forcing Ukraine to give territory, no security guarantees, proposing removal of NATO troops from all Eastern NATO countries with no reparations for destroying an independent country. Giving that as you say Russia is on its needs that's a massive win for them. They launched an aggressive war of they come out with normalised relations, US openly abandoning Europe, gaining territory. It's been clear Putin's gamble these last 18 months was I hope trump gets in I think we can get a positive outcome and he was absolutely right.

    Gurgen nah what I'm referring to is there are no 'friends' in geopolitics, everyone looks out for themselves. Germany for example is supposed to be even more grateful than other European countries for the Union yet they've had zero scruples to abuse the Euro and Maastricht rules to run an internal devaluation policy for two decades and export mass unemployment to its neighbours.

      awooga83 sorry but I don't buy it, the US has been doing the exact same shit since forever it's just gone unreported (or at least with less coverage) because they bothered to put more varnish on their policies, what's new is that Trump is just showing the bare face of power. There's countless examples but not sure it gets more obvious than when the US signed The Hague Act into law 20+ years ago allowing them to invade the Netherlands if ever an American soldier was put on trial there ffs.

      Russia invading Ukraine is novel because for once it's not a country that's part of the West that's committed the crime of aggression. Everybody outside the West knew that the global order is only orderly for them as long as the US decide it is.

          "For once"? Non-western countries invade other countries all the time. The very same Russia took 20% off one of its tiny neighbours only this century.

            Gurgen yes, for once. If you talk about the Georgian war regardless of how one feels about the South Ossetian conflict it was Saakashvili's troops who crossed the border first, hence the term "crime of aggression"

            Compare the number of dead in these conflicts with the victims of Western wars, it's not exactly comparable is it.

                I see what @jones is saying. There are acceptable invasions and unacceptable invasions. In South Africa, we are now dealing with the threat of sanctions and lies pfficially tabled by US congressmen about our government's relationships with Hamas and the Chinese Communist Party simply because South Africa dared to take an opposing view on Israel's misdeeds in Palestine. It's been very damaging economically to South Africa. But I am still happy the SA government stood on business here.

                Gurgen compare the dead of America's wars with those of Russia's?

                  jones I mean Russia has been involved in plenty of conflicts of such nature Afghanistan, Syria and numerous African conflicts all which were linked to Russia. It's not like Russia just started to do this either it's been that way since the post WW2 order as an the big powers have been. The difference for me is there were unwritten limits to what the big countries would do in some theatres which no longer appear to be in play which to me is a change in the reality of things.

                      awooga83 Afghanistan is the only war that fits the description and that wasn't Russia, it was the Soviet Union - the conversation was regarding post Cold War. Syria the Russians were actually there with a mandate under international law and "numerous African conflicts" I'm not sure if you appreciate the reason why Russia or Russian mercenaries were ever called in there.

                      I've no relation to Russia, they as any other country with the means to do so will abuse it and commit horrendous atrocities - we were friends with a Chechen family back in the day and I vividly remember the images coming from there in my childhood. That doesn't mean that what Russia under Putin have done is even remotely comparable to the pain and strife the US have rained on the planet in the last four decades.

                          Coombs this shit drives me insane. I'm happy to take in Ukrainian refugees but in Ireland we've given them way more rights than all other refugees and its fucking nuts.

                            awooga83 What is surprising to me is Russia are in a very weak position, if Trump just turned around and said he is gonna support Ukraine they'd probably come to the table themselves. They can't sustain this much longer but despite that Trump seems more desperate than the Russians to end it.

                                JazzG -- because Trump wants credit and material benefit for ending it. If it ends because Russia's offensive collapses, then Trump won't benefit as Ukraine will regain power (and "rights") over its land, resources, and future. He also can't double down on support after decrying it for so long in his campaign.

                                    jones distract from an actual order that exists called international law.

                                    Yeah we both know none of the super powers in this world will give two shits about International law when it suits them.

                                    MistaT He also can't double down on support after decrying it for so long in his campaign.

                                    It wouldn't be the first time he did a U turn on anything, guy has free PR on social media and they'll just twist anything he does to say "Art of the deal"...

                                    awooga83 Also UK needs to lean into Europe as you said the world had changed plucky little Britain is weak on our own we are going to need to be part of a European response to the new world order.

                                    Plucky little Britain needs to ally itself with strong countries not a bunch of countries who are a bigger joke than us when it comes to military spending. Europe so far does not look like it is about to get its act in order anytime soon.

                                          Now it's Steve Bannon who takes his turn to do a Roman salute on stage at the CPAC conference, to cheers from the gathered crowd of fascists.

                                          jones I mean I will disagree on that what the Russians did in Syria is pretty horrific they prolonged a civil war resulting in many thousands of deaths and were involved in directly killing civilians. Okay Assad called them in but I'm not sure that makes it any better personally then any Western actions and the Assad government would have collapsed without their help. Similarly in Africa they were plundering resources and certainly not acting in the wider people's interests but it seems we'll disagree on this aspect.

                                          I'm not saying the west aren't hypocrites they absolutely are just that Russia are not any different really any international law is meaningless if the world and the big powers don't enforce it and none of them have been. Russia started to murder dissidents in the UK under Putin which is a pretty big deviation from the previous post cold war period. I think that is a marked change and I don't know there are example of the US murdering dissidents like that? How was international law able to be implemented in that case as well?

                                              awooga83 I don't know there are example of the US murdering dissidents like that?

                                              Well, the US just tortures them in Cuba until they die or kills them in drone strikes and calls them terrorists.

                                              I agree that the Russians have absolutely no ethical leg to stand on, because no matter how evil the US and the so-called West may be, it doesn't justify evils perpetrated by others. Whataboutery is deferred vengeance, which is no kind of justice.

                                                  Kel Varnsen That is not even the worst part of it. Europe/EU has bought oil, gas, coal, fertilizer etc from Russia for €2-4 hundred billions since just 2022. The russian war effort is completely dependent on his funding (and western currency). All because of an insanely naive energy policy...

                                                  It is ridiculous. They are still exporting to Russia as well, they are doing it via other countries like Georgia, Armenia & Kyrgyzstan. It has been a completely half arsed and they have knowingly left these loopholes open, wars are good business at the end of the day! But now they want to give out lectures, give me a break. If they had gone cold turkey on Russia this war might have ended differently.