Qwiss I'd consider a league season similar to this along with a good CL campaign and a good FA cup run to be progress, even if its without a trophy
The minimum criterion for any sort of successful season is continued top four status. Easier said than done with what will be vicious and cashed up competition: it'll be us, City, United, Liverpool, Newcastle, Chelsea and even Brighton going into the season with it in their sights. At least Spurs look like they'll accept a season on the outer crying into their pillows.
If we get out of the group and acquit ourselves with some dignity in Europe, and secure top four a bit early while bloodying the noses of our rivals in the league, it'll be an incrementally good season. Anything better than that, like a proper league challenge alongside a run deep into the Champions League elimination rounds would be immense.
If we limp into the top four and fizzle out in Europe, it'll be disappointing.
Any sort of FA Cup run is negotiable, though as you've pointed out every knockout competition was a big fail for Arteta in 22–23.