goon wrote:
This a flawed projection though, in that it assumes everyone else maintains their current pace. Leicester for example were on 45 points this time last year and were projected to finish on 81 points. United were on 31 (identical to us) so using your logic would have needed 2.9 points per game to have a chance of overtaking them. In the end all they needed was 2 points per game average to finish third.
Again, no one is saying it isn't an outside shot, but if we can end up with 65+ points, we'll have a chance of being up there.
Let’s assume Leicester falls, and we need 65+ points, we would still need to average 2+ PPG for the rest f the season. Again, that is what United have been achieving the entire season and they are sitting 10 (TEN) points ahead of us as things stand.
When some teams lose pace in PPG, those PPG are redistributed elsewhere. So it’s not like they just dissipate. That is what is flawed about your reasoning. The optimistic fan tends to think that other teams will stand still and only their team will make progress, when in fact all teams continue to move forward.
The fact is no matter how you cut it, we will need to move at near championship pace for the rest of the season regardless of what other teams are doing. That is the important point. We need to do it. In the mean time, we have games against Leeds, Leicester, Wolves, Spurs, City coming up in the next few rounds. We dug ourselves too deep a hole. Just two more wins in earlier rounds would’ve made all the difference here.
