Trump is still in a vulnerable position. If you look at approval ratings for western leaders at national and state level, most were polling in the 70s in the past few weeks as they stepped up to lead on Coronavirus. This is an easy way to appear presidential. Cuomo is the perfect example of an average governor who suddenly has Americans predictably throwing words like ‘presidential’ around. Trump rose to early 50s and is this week back to late 40s on approval, and approval on handling of crisis isn’t much better. This is an epic failure.
The problem for Trump is he is going to struggle to reclaim lost jobs in coming months. And despite his efforts, deaths will keep piling up. Even if US ends below original forecast I’m not sure he will be able to reassure Americans that he had a hand in that. It will all look like the work of proactive governors.
Biden’s big issue now is neither he nor his surrogates know how to organize online. This is actually the time to be a Twitter and Youtube candidate you make up for reduced tour time. But he’s disappeared.