goon Thought I’d ask Gemini, the odds of drawing a ‘top 6’ side (I know that’s generous to United) in the third round of the FA Cup three years running is 0.66%
LLMs aren't generally capable of doing these kinds of calculations correctly, so I hope it showed you its working …
That said if modelled as an independent Bernoulli trial thing that'd be roughly the same as hitting an 18% chance three years in a row, so maybe not too far off.
