goon Are Liverpool themselves beyond having a tough period like ourselves and City have had?
Of course they aren't. But neither are we beyond having another tough period or continuing our tough period. Nobody is saying it's impossible except maybe Sicario, but 9 points is tough because now we need both Liverpool to have a tough period and us to not have one (or Liverpool to have a longer tough period, or several tough periods - you get the point).
It's not really basing analysis on recent form, but it's that the probability of us winning is [outcome 1 needed to win] * [outcome 2 needed to win] etc. and because of the 9 points difference the number of favourable outcomes needed to win has increased, making the probability go down by quite a bit.
