Fulham v Manchester City - Sat 11th May - 1230 PM KO GMT - The Arsenal discussion community: One More in the Tolly

Fulham v Manchester City - Sat 11th May - 1230 PM KO GMT

invisibleman18

Lukazan 3-0 by then at least.

HomeSteak

I have been betting on City and Liverpool for a few months now, stopped with Liverpool, but will continue to put 100$ on City each game. Easy money, and it makes it easier when they win. They will not drop points, they will score 3-5 per game until the end. They are a machine that never fucks up. Only Real can dick them around

Sicario2 - Tier 1

Fuck it bought a ticket for this game. I’ll do what I can for us to win the title.

I’ve seen City 5 times in my life and they have only won once.

Arsenal 1- 0 City (April 2012 when Arteta scored)
Arsenal 2-1 City (April 2017 FA Cup Semi Final)
Tottenham 1-0 City (August 2021 - yes I know, friend had a spare ticket)
Arsenal 0-2 City (March 2023)
Chelsea 4-4 City (October 2023)

For the record I’ve never seen Fulham lose:

Fulham 2-1 FC Krakow (sometime in 2012)
Fulham 2-1 Arsenal (Jan 2012)
Arsenal 2-2 Fulham (August 2023)

LFG

Clrnc

Sicario2 - Tier 1 If City drop points at Fulham because you attend it and we win at OT, I will wire over 1k to you

Big Willie

Sicario2 - Tier 1 For the record I’ve never seen Fulham lose:

Fulham 2-1 FC Krakow (sometime in 2012)
Fulham 2-1 Arsenal (Jan 2012)
Arsenal 2-2 Fulham (August 2023)

LFG

Haven't you been a season ticket holder for ages? How have you never seen Fulham lose to us?

Qwiss

Sicario2 - Tier 1 if this works will build you a statue at OMIT HQ.

Sicario2 - Tier 1

Clrnc

Hahahahaha it’s ok man.

It’s not many times you can see your direct opponents in a title race in May #yolo

MistaT

I’ll write Iwobi an apology letter and buy his jersey if he scores a game tying/winning goal.

Meatwad

MistaT
i'll meet him halfway and buy the 2018 WC nigeria kit with iwobi on the back.

Sicario2 - Tier 1

Big Willie

Only had season ticket in 2019-2020 (Fulham were in the championship) and 2022-2023 (couldn’t go to the Fulham game).

TambourineMan

Ahhhh have zero faith in Fulham to do anything here. That Villa game fucked us.

Gurgen

No chance, these guys are already on holiday. I also don't think we will win at Old Trafford.

daredevil

Gurgen

Yeah, they're trickier than Spurs or Chelsea. The chances those two missed in transition, I'm wary that Rashford and Garnacho would convert.

HomeSteak

yeah, you could say all 3 are due a win, the law of averages? Right guys? Right? 🙁

awooga83

The period since the villa game has allowed the cold hard reality to dawn on me that it's not going to be us again this year. A good season but still a few too many points dropped in the end. I've made my peace with that for now so if events conspire to put us back in it then great. But the calibre of opposition there is no one left who I would anticipate giving City a tough game at this time of year.

HomeSteak

awooga83 I think we dropped 4 points in 2024

QuincyAbeyie

I don't think City will drop points either, but I also think people need to move away from looking for a specific game City will be expected to drop points. Games away to us and Liverpool are probably the only games where a City win isn't the most likely outcome. This doesn't mean they finish with 108+ points though, because that's not how probability works. If a team plays three games where the chance of them winning is 85 % in each, the chance of them winning all of them is about 60 %.

awooga83

QuincyAbeyie no that's fair, but we will have a similar factor although with less games. I also think this part of the season makes surprise results slightly less likely just because when the opposition have nothing to particularly play for it often undermines their competitiveness.

The reason why the models built on historical data favoured them was their ability to get through these fixtures and people felt it was unfair to us because it didn't shine m account for improvements we've seen but it was based on us just not being able to close out these positions and that looks like it will remain the case at least for another season.

Claudius

HomeSteak hard to criticise the team when they’re going up against a machine.

You can see what happens to normal teams. Look at Pool running out of steam. Villa end Spurs completely shitting the bed in the race for 4th. They’re twenty points behind us.

Claudius

awooga83 this is the form table for the trailing ten games

City 26 points
Arsenal 25 points
Newcastle / Chelsea 19 points
Liverpool 18

We are closing out fine. You can see that we are much better than everyone else in the run-in, including Liverpool who we e just lapped.

Clrnc

Claudius closing out fine in a normal year except for the fact we already dropped too many points in the first half of the season.

But I prefer to see it the other way. We dropped the points , it was done. We then know we have to be 100% perfect after drawing at Etihad. Liverpool lost right after against Palace. We had a supreme chance to consolidate our advantage while we are leading the table. We didn't. Shit happens. We lost it there.

awooga83

Claudius I was referring more to closing out to win the title. It's tough no doubt but once we got ourselves top with 7 to go, the challenge for us was to not drop points and we get the outcome we are targeting whatever happens. As good as we've managed to be it looks like we aren't going to do that and outperform the team we are going head to head with a team which was last beaten on 6th December and tend to have been pretty good at navigating the second half of seasons.