There's only 3 points between us and City in their prediction, which basically means Mirth is correct. Given that the super computer would have almost certainly given City the win at the Etihad, it basically means if we win that game our odds will increase substantially.
Their points projection is only 86 points, which would mean we'd only have to win 7 and draw 1 of our last 10. That's a lot lower than what's being assumed on here.