I think Chelsea will get him because our priority is Rice, in fact it's still not clear if we even want both or if it's either/or. Ornstein hinted the latter though it seemed like guess work based because he didn't think we would spend that much.
I'd absolutely love both, but if we do get Rice then I'm not sure spending another £70-80m on Caicedo is worth it. You can overpay for one midfielder, can you overpay for two? Can't make my mind up.