Circus circa 2020: Page 55 - The Arsenal discussion forum and community: One More in the Tolly

Circus circa 2020

Gazza M

Aye, alot hinges on how latinos vote in FL, AZ and even TX if its in play as the polls suggest. Losing TX would be hilarious karma for republicans

MistaT

Klaus wrote:
Anyone got a good link to a page that will track the election results as they're reported today?

CNN starting to get set up

Presidential
https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/results/president?iid=politics_election_national_map

Senate
https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/results/senate?iid=politics_election_bop#mapmode=lead

Klaus

Cheers!

Mirth

y va marquer

😆

goon

😆

Meatwad

Mirth wrote:

we don't think about anyone but ourselves. brexit got some attention though.

Mirth

Gazza M

obviously florida leans red, but biden is doing worse with latinos than hillary did. looks like florida stays red, which means bums get a little squeakier

Daz

Texas leaning towards Biden with about 50% counted?

Qwiss

Biden looking good so far despite Florida. Think he has it.

Daz

Trump leading the popular vote. Worrying?

Gazza M

Daz wrote:
Texas leaning towards Biden with about 50% counted?

alot of that would be early votes. given how the exit polling looks on latinos (not just florida, but ohio and georgia too) biden is underperforming significantly with latinos even compared to HRC

ohio looks more promising. if any voting bloc wins this for biden it's probably white voters - suburban, seniors, blue collar in particular

Qwiss

Which counts already have postal votes added in?

Gazza M

Qwiss! wrote:
Which counts already have postal votes added in?

i believe the majority report mail votes first. thats why florida got to like 90% reporting very quickly

arsedocmd

Klaus wrote:
Anyone got a good link to a page that will track the election results as they're reported today?

Is this a joke?

Qwiss

Gazza M wrote:
Qwiss! wrote:
Which counts already have postal votes added in?

i believe the majority report mail votes first. thats why florida got to like 90% reporting very quickly

Hmmm. Weren't máil in votes supposed to be biased towards Biden? How does that effect projections I wonder. I also never really understood why postal voting was more of a Dem thing.

Gazza M

Qwiss! wrote:
Gazza M wrote:
i believe the majority report mail votes first. thats why florida got to like 90% reporting very quickly

Hmmm. Weren't máil in votes supposed to be biased towards Biden? How does that effect projections I wonder. I also never really understood why postal voting was more of a Dem thing.

analysts are scrambling to figure out the mail voting splits, so its not entirely clear. NYT for example seems pessimistic on NC, yet fox is putting NC at 89% to go to biden

Daz

It's strange to me too because it's the opposite in Australia where postal and pre-poll votes historically favour conservative parties.

Qwiss

Guess without precedent it's impossible to know.

Anyway I gotta sleep. I'm sure we'll know more in a few hours.

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