https://gunnerstown.com/arsenal/2022/10/20/8-cs-why-arsenal-can-be-considered-title-challengers-and-1-c-why-they-cannot/
I thought the following was/is key to our season:
"Clinical – The first 8 C’s are all the reasons why I feel this Arsenal should and will be challenging well into 2023 but the last C, ‘clinical’ is also the one that to me suggests 2022/23 may be too early for Arteta’s fabulous squad to challenge Man City. This fabulous analysis from Transfermarkt is why I believe this. It shows that after 9 matches Arsenal have improved so much as an attacking threat that their conversion of chances is the best in the Premier League at 16.4%.
However, it also clearly illustrates why Man City are likely to be uncatchable this season. Guardiola’s team have created over 50% more goal scoring opportunities than Arsenal (219 as against 140.) When you factor in that a certain Erling Haaland is the main beneficiary of these openings it is hard to see how Arsenal surpasses the Champions."
I also think the overall conversion % will have dropped after games like H v PSV where we have 25 shots at goal for only 8 on target and 1 goal scored.