KingslandBarge Nketiah is probably already more of a scorer than Welbeck ever was at Arsenal, but the latter is a decent model for what we seem to expect now from forwards, discipline and work rate but not huge output.
To put things in perspective, Nketiah and Jesus both have xG per 90 around 0.35 this season. Havertz, as bad as he's been, has 0.25, and it'd probably be 0.35 if we just plonked him up top. That number should be up around 0.5 if you're an Arsenal striker, 1 in 2 has always been a benchmark for our first choice at least.
