Ricky1985 wrote:
There's not a single reason to think that the number of cases in Britain, and other countries, won't develop in the same way as Italy. The maths suggests it's just a matter of time, and the the fact that no preventative steps are being taken at governmental level, it seems inevitable to me.
And there is now preliminary evidence emerging from China that COVID-19 can attack a person's central nervous system:
[Twitter]
So who knows where we going to be with all this a year from now?
arsedoc md wrote:
I don't understand the point of these surveys though. Or the numbers they produce. Both sides percentages are based in total ignorance.
Aaargh.
I hate research like this. One of the things that’s quite clear about America is that the country is fractured along Party lines but those party affiliations are correlated to a lot of other aspects of people’s lives - religion, geography they live in, media they consume, etc.
What the people doing the poll have to explain is how the political differences are separate to these correlated effects. So for example, travel affects coastal areas mostly, which tend to be Democrat bases, and this is actually where the disease is concentrated. So is it possible that location is the primary indicator of concern? The politics is correlated but is it the most important variable?
I can see potentially some differentiated reaction to Trump’s handling of the issue across parties, but we need to see additional questions showing that this is the issue